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	<title>global &amp;laquo; WordPress.com Tag Feed</title>
	<link>http://wordpress.com/tag/global/</link>
	<description>Feed of posts on WordPress.com tagged "global"</description>
	<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 21:42:17 +0000</pubDate>

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<title><![CDATA[Encontros Preparatórios - Global Forum]]></title>
<link>http://eporissoeudigo.wordpress.com/?p=113</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 20:03:47 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>ligiagiatti</dc:creator>
<guid>http://eporissoeudigo.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/encontros-preparatorios-global-forum/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Como as  organizações e as escolas de negócios podem&nbsp;conversar para  criar um&nbsp;mundo mai]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://www.globalforum.com.br"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-115" style="border:0 none;margin:9px;" title="banner_global_1_portugues1" src="http://eporissoeudigo.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/banner_global_1_portugues1.gif" alt="" width="139" height="97"></a><font color="#008080" size="4" face="Calibri"><b>Como as  organizações e as escolas de negócios podem&#160;conversar </b></font><font color="#008080" size="4" face="Calibri"><b>para  criar um&#160;mundo mais sustentável?</b></font></div>
<div style="text-align:center;"><b><font color="#008080" size="4" face="Calibri">Participe  da maior rede de conversação sobre inovação na educação e nos negócios para a  sustentabilidade</font></b></div>
<div style="text-align:center;"></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><b><i></i></b></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><font color="#808080" face="Book Antiqua"><font color="#c0c0c0" face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri">Venha participar do Global Forum  America Latina,&#160;um movimento de inovação criativa para a cooperação entre  universidades, empresas, poder público e sociedade com foco na  sustentabilidade.&#160;<font face="Calibri"> Um diálogo para construir novas  alternativas empresariais,&#160;conversar sobre a educação para a  sustentabilidade e, principalmente, trilhar e anunciar o caminho para criação de  uma economia efetivamente sustentável que garanta às gerações futuras o direito  à vida com qualidade igual ou superior à nossa. </font>O Global Forum  America Latina&#160; faz parte de uma série de encontros de conversação  iniciados no Pacto Global da ONU, desenvolvidos em Cleveland e realizados em  Curitiba desde 2000.<br />
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<p><font color="#808080" face="Book Antiqua"><font face="Calibri"></font></font></p>
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<div style="text-align:left;">
<p style="text-align:left;"><font color="#008080">Para começar,&#160; participe dos  <b>encontros preparatórios</b>. </font></p>
</div>
<ul style="text-align:center;">
<li><font face="Book Antiqua"><font face="Calibri"><font color="#008080">Venha trocar  experiências com outras pessoas alinhadas com o tema!</font></font></font></li>
<li><font face="Book Antiqua"><font color="#008080" face="Calibri">Construir um repertório comum sobre educação em  sustentabilidade!</font></font></li>
<li><font face="Book Antiqua"><font color="#008080" face="Calibri">Fortalecer alianças para a  sustentabilidade</font></font><font color="#808080" face="Book Antiqua"><font face="Calibri">!<br><br />
</font></font></li>
</ul>
<div></div>
<div><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">Escolha entre dias 09,  16, 23 e 30 de outubro</font></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">Das 16:00h às  20:00h</font></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">Al. Lorena, 355 -Jardins</font></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">Tel</font><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri"> </font><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">3539 8574</font><font color="#808080" size="4" face="Calibri">.</font></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"></div>
<div style="text-align:left;"><b><i><font color="#008080" face="Calibri"><a href="http://www.doodle.ch/participation.html?pollId=2unhexafu9w2fwwx" target="_blank">Inscreva-se  clicando aqui</a></font></i></b></div>
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<title><![CDATA[The Goldman Report for October 6, 2008]]></title>
<link>http://eastbaycurbappeal.wordpress.com/?p=262</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 18:44:55 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>danjoy</dc:creator>
<guid>http://eastbaycurbappeal.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/the-goldman-report-for-october-6-2008/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[
I told you to hold on to your hat. Even though the economic rescue plan was signed last week by the]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><span style="color:#000000;"><a href="http://eastbaycurbappeal.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/banner_goldmanrepormain.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-263" title="banner_goldmanrepormain" src="http://eastbaycurbappeal.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/banner_goldmanrepormain.jpg?w=300" alt="" width="300" height="69" /></a></span></strong></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">I told you to hold on to your hat. Even though the <strong>economic rescue plan</strong> was signed last week by the President, the <strong>stock market</strong> reacted as if it didn’t get the news.  Two points to note: first, this <strong>economic upheaval</strong> is a <strong>global</strong> issue, not just national.  The <strong>stock exchange</strong> reacted based on what happened in earlier time zones. Although we have a plan, many other nations are still grappling with what to do. Iceland is in dire straits and could become an iceberg. And secondly, this is not just about <strong>housing</strong> any more. We are in a <strong>recession</strong> and the <strong>market</strong> is reflecting the <strong>economic</strong> woes. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">The main purpose of the plan was to unclog the <strong>financial system</strong> and keep <strong>credit</strong> flowing. The plan was to act like an ad hoc Drano with the intention of <strong>getting money flowing</strong> for <strong>businesses</strong> and <strong>home loans</strong>. The <strong>Treasury</strong> will need to quickly begin implementing in order to make sure the plan has it desired effect. Nearly seventy percent of our <strong>GDP</strong> is based on <strong>consumer spending</strong>. And therefore our <strong>financial health</strong> depends on the <strong>free flow of credit</strong>. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">The plan will not stop the <strong>recession</strong>, but it may lessen its harshness and reduce the period of time it will take to recover. It is a step in steadying the patient---<strong>the economy</strong>. We will know it is working by watching four <strong>credit market signs</strong> according to <strong>Kathleen Pender’s article</strong> in last Sunday’s<strong> SF Chronicle</strong>. The <strong>four markets</strong> include: 1) <strong>Three month treasury bill yields</strong>—yields have been driven down to under a half percent. It needs to get back to 2 percent.  2)  <strong>The Libor rate</strong>—the rate at which <strong>banks</strong> <strong>loan</strong> to each other. It should be close to the <strong>federal funds rate</strong>---2 percent.  Last week it was at 6 percent. 3) <strong>The Ted spread</strong>—this is the difference between the <strong>3-month Libor</strong> and the <strong>3-month Treasury yield</strong>. It is about .5 percent and it needs to get above 1 percent. 4) <strong>Corporate bond spreads</strong>--- this is the difference between <strong>high-grade corporate bonds</strong> and <strong>junk bonds</strong>.  The spread currently is about 6.5 percent. In May 2007 it was 1.5 percent. A reasonable rate would be around 4 percent.  These are the litmus tests. If they return to more reasonable numbers then the plan will have worked.  Now you know what to watch for.</span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">How does all of this affect the <strong>housing market</strong>?  Our September <strong>sales</strong>, both open and closed, were <strong>up</strong> over last year, however <strong>average sales price was down</strong> by an equal amount. The <strong>lower end</strong> of the <strong>market</strong> continues to dominate the <strong>number of sales</strong> driving both <strong>median and average price down</strong>.  The <strong>higher end</strong> of the <strong>market</strong> has been less active due in part to the cost and terms of <strong>jumbo loans</strong> (those loans over $729,750) and that buys in the higher price ranges are more discretionary. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;"><strong>Volatility in the financial markets</strong>, <strong>increasing unemployment</strong> and <strong>uncertainty</strong> in the direction of <strong>the economy</strong> is putting up a yellow flag for a number of <strong>buyers</strong>. It is almost like putting the process on pause.  <strong>Open house</strong> activity has slowed in some <strong>markets</strong> like <strong>Marin</strong> and the <strong>wine country</strong>.  The <strong>East Bay</strong> and <strong>San Francisco</strong> are still seeing decent numbers for <strong>homes</strong> that are open for the first and second times, but the number of <strong>buyers </strong></span><span style="color:#000000;">is declining.  <strong>Transactions are taking longer</strong> to close as <strong>banks</strong> and <strong>mortgage companies</strong> are demanding more documentation and requiring <strong>buyers</strong> to meet <strong>more stringent guidelines</strong>. The <strong>volatility of the economy</strong> is also taking its toll. One <strong>buyer</strong> walked away from a large deposit due to their rapidly changing financial position. Yes, just like the <strong>financial markets</strong>, the <strong>housing market</strong> is feeling the stress. For those brave and <strong>financially stable buyers</strong>, there are rewards in negotiating <strong>exceptional values</strong>.  As has been said many times, the <strong>best time to buy is when others aren’t</strong>. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">Believe it or not there are still <strong>multiple offers</strong>. Again with most occurring under the million dollar range. Those <strong>properties</strong> that are <strong>competitively priced</strong> (some would say well <strong>below market</strong>) and in the most <strong>desirable neighborhoods</strong> are receiving a great deal of attention. For example, a <strong>REO</strong> 3bedr. 2 bath <strong>home</strong> in Larkspur priced at $789K received 22 offers and, from my understanding, went over a million.  Go figure.  Most multiples are receiving between 2-4 offers and going a little below or above list price. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">Next week will be the full review of September numbers around the Bay. I believe those numbers will reflect what I have been reporting over the last four weeks---<strong>sales numbers are up over last year</strong>, <strong>median/average prices are dropping</strong>, and <strong>inventories are declining</strong> as <strong>distressed properties</strong> are being <strong>sold</strong> and <strong>fewer listings are coming on the market</strong>. </span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000000;">Until then, buckle up. </span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Tze6Ir2jNY&#38;feature=related"><span style="color:#000000;">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Tze6Ir2jNY&#38;feature=related</span></a></p>
<p style="text-align:justify;"><span style="color:#808080;"><em>Written by Avrom Goldman, President CEO Pacific Union</em></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify;"><span style="color:#808080;"><em>Edited by <strong>Dan Joy</strong></em></span></p>
<p><strong><br />
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<title><![CDATA[Song of the Day: Dire Straits - Brothers In Arms]]></title>
<link>http://errantmind.wordpress.com/?p=693</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 18:37:09 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Sean Wilson</dc:creator>
<guid>http://errantmind.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/song-of-the-day-dire-straits-brothers-in-arms/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[If you&#8217;ve ever wondered what might make a hard man misty-eyed, what does it for me in particul]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you've ever wondered what might make a hard man misty-eyed, what does it for me in particular, here's one example. While there are a few things that have that effect on me, this is the only one I'm sharing at the moment.</p>
<p>This has been one of my favorite songs of all time, and it gave me goosebumps the very first time I heard it. It still does. It's hard to listen to sometimes, and I have noticed that it affects many others the same. It is a fitting tribute as well to those generations past, whom sacrificed so much.</p>
<p>Mark Knopfler's guitar playing is transcendental, and words cannot describe how I admire his playing. I wish I had the tiniest fraction of his talent. I'm including two different video versions of <em>Brothers In Arms</em>, by Dire Straits, so you can hear the album version and so you can see it as it was played live in 1988, at Nelson Mandela's birthday celebration in South Africa. I don't care about the politics of it, but even if you can't escape it, it is worth seeing merely on the strength of the artist's performance.</p>
<p>That second video is just so haunting, as befits the song. Eric Clapton, who was there to perform as well, backed Mark Knopfler on this song---and, I daresay, you can see that even Slowhand was awed by the moment. If you have ever wondered what a musician making magic and touching something divine looks like, be sure to watch the last minutes of the 1988 Mandela birthday tribute performance. It is humbling. It is what music is meant to be.</p>
<p>Today's <em>Song of the Day</em> goes out to those of you who were there, and those that are no longer with us.</p>
<p>The album version...<br />
<span style='text-align:center; display: block;'><object width='425' height='350'><param name='movie' value='http://www.youtube.com/v/k5JkHBC5lDs'></param><param name='wmode' value='transparent'></param><embed src='http://www.youtube.com/v/k5JkHBC5lDs&rel=0' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' wmode='transparent' width='425' height='350'></embed></object></span></p>
<p>The Live performance in South Africa, 1988...<br />
[From 5:18 to 6:32 there were technical difficulties, but hang in there, as soon as the video comes back, it is simply amazing.]<br />
<span style='text-align:center; display: block;'><object width='425' height='350'><param name='movie' value='http://www.youtube.com/v/y9Hp8ZvFF4s'></param><param name='wmode' value='transparent'></param><embed src='http://www.youtube.com/v/y9Hp8ZvFF4s&rel=0' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' wmode='transparent' width='425' height='350'></embed></object></span></p>
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<title><![CDATA[What the next president can do at little cost]]></title>
<link>http://cinnabarbooks.wordpress.com/?p=7</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 16:31:14 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>phwebnet</dc:creator>
<guid>http://cinnabarbooks.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/what-the-next-president-can-do-at-little-cost/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[ Given the constraints the bailouts and the economy will have on the new president, it seems that we]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!--StartFragment--> Given the constraints the bailouts and the economy will have on the new president, it seems that we should look at, first, what we can do that will cost no (or little) money. Please share other ideas!</p>
<ul type="square">
<li class="MsoNormal">Release      the scientists</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      currents rules and regulations and start enforcing the ones that fit our      vision
<ul type="circle">
<li class="MsoNormal">FDA</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">EPA</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Fed       Reserve</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Make      government more transparent and more easily transparent (pork, bailout      actions)</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Plan      to use the bully pulpit to stake our positions, challenge the public, open      our arms, speak to the world</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      all subsidies; identify those that need to be re-focused; enforce      oversight that already exists; make transparent; determine how to re-focus      on future vision
<ul type="circle">
<li class="MsoNormal">Auto       industry</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Ethanol       / corn industry</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">ADM,       farm,</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Oil       industry (i.e. keep some subsidies but only if they are used for green/       future)</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Identify      those in the pentagon who can look forward to helping us figure out how to      use our military most effectively, as last resort, not first resort</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Begin      legal process to close loopholes
<ul type="circle">
<li class="MsoNormal">Enron</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Hire      Al Gore as energy / environment/ climate czar (across departments and      agencies) [cabinet level position]</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Ask      for reports and assessment from professional bureaucracies on how to get      us back on track</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Tell      Americans and the world the truth
<ul type="circle">
<li class="MsoNormal">Economy</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Global       interconnectedness</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Climate       change</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Education</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Health       care</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Price       of energy</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Ask us      to do something specific</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Talk      to the mayors and governors who are way ahead of the Federal government on      critical issues: energy, climate, environment, health care, social justice      – ask for their advice on how to best support them and get our of their      way (beyond money)
<ul type="circle">
<li class="MsoNormal">CA</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">NY</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">WA</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">OR</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Seattle       driven commitment (To date, 884 U.S. mayors have signed the Mayors'       Climate Protection Agreement to meet the Kyoto Protocol standards by 2012       per Washington Post 10/7/08 - <span>If They Came       Here… Tuesday, October 7, 2008; Page A21</span>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Ask      for a panel / study of prisons and how to reduce % of our populations that      is in prison</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Ask      for a symposium of far left and far right to identify common ground on      major issues</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Close      Guantanamo</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      progress on Katrina</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      and recommend health care system that focuses on prevention rather than      disease</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Recommend      new cars and rental cars don’t have headlights on during the day</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Recommend      that cities and buildings review and reduce light pollution</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      subsidies and tax rates and refocus benefits for companies that hire in      the US and keep jobs in the US</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      economic aid to other countries to make sure that we are getting our fair      share of aid, recommend reductions especially if they are not focused on      education and self-sustainability (see recent article about Indian      programs)</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      subsidies and tax policy for charities that provide no benefit to US (all      offshore efforts, especially the big ones like Gates / Buffet)</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Review      and recommend compensation policies – and work it through tax benefits –      to re-balance workers and executive pay – so economy will function better      – if economy is based on shopping, we need more shoppers out of debt</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Approve      CA + NY + 15 other states resetting auto emissions standards – Fed so far      has resisted.</li>
<li class="MsoNormal">Identify      and reward companies that are leading in global warming, renewable energy,      Slow Food, LEED initiatives.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="square">
<li class="MsoNormal">
<ul type="square">
<li class="MsoNormal"></li>
</ul>
<p><!--EndFragment--></li>
</ul>
<p><!--EndFragment--></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Fed Buys Short Term Debt, Cost Of American Ass Goes Up]]></title>
<link>http://errantmind.wordpress.com/?p=688</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 16:28:24 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Sean Wilson</dc:creator>
<guid>http://errantmind.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/fed-buys-short-term-debt-cost-of-american-ass-goes-up/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Now the Fed is buying short term debt in the form of commercial paper. Just like everyone knew in th]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now the Fed is buying short term debt in the form of commercial paper. Just like everyone knew in the first place, the $700 billion bailout wouldn't work and <em>wouldn't be enough to change anything</em>. But politicians and CEO's and financial analysts (whose jobs depend on investors and speculators...so it's not like you couldn't see that one coming) convinced Congress and a lot of citizens through fear tactics that it was necessary to save us.</p>
<p>Now Congress and the Federal Reserve have saddled us with an incredible amount of debt to bail out those that started this mess in the first place.</p>
<p>While refusing to give an actual number on how much they would buy, <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081007/financial_meltdown.html?.&#38;.pf=banking-budgeting">$1.3 trillion worth of short term credit would qualify</a>. Let's use that to figure out how fucked <em>We the People</em> just got by Congress and the Federal Reserve.</p>
<p>How much will America be in debt now thanks to Congress and the Fed?</p>
<p>$700 billion bailout plan<br />
$600 billion in cash loans to financial institutions<br />
$1.3 trillion in commercial paper/short term debt<br />
----------------------------------------------<br />
$2.6 trillion dollars in one week!<br />
$300 billion in already outstanding cash loans to financial institutions<br />
----------------------------------------------<br />
$2.9 trillion in Federal debt!</p>
<p><em>We the People</em> just got fucked to the tune of $2.6 trillion dollars in less than a week. Congratulations America, you are the world's most expensive piece of ass. How's it feel?</p>
<p>And that on top of our <strong>preexisting deficit</strong> of <strong>$10,198,103,073,856.34</strong> as of Oct. 7, 2008. [<strong>Note:</strong> I have seen claims it was actually five times higher, at $50 trillion...but I went with the lowest figure I could find. See? I'm not all gloom and doom and just out to make things look or sound worse than they are!]</p>
<p>Our <strong>national debt</strong> has been increasing about <strong>$3.18 billion every day</strong> since September 2007. Which means every 314.4 days we go another trillion dollars in debt.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/04/10/business/10cndtrade.php">Oh yes, don't forget that the <strong>trade deficit</strong> back in April of this year was <strong>$62.3 billion</strong></a>. It shows no signs of shrinking and has been growing steadily over the years.</p>
<p>And all the while, <em>our government wants to approve free trade agreements with Columbia, South Korea,  and Panama</em>---<strong>giving everyone else a break and robbing American taxpayers and workers</strong> of billions of dollars in revenue.</p>
<p>Did you catch that? Your Congress is seeking to reduce the burden on the people and businesses of those in other countries <em>while increasing <strong>your</strong> tax burden</em> and the amount of debt you and your children will be responsible for.</p>
<p>How much <em>representation</em> did YOU have in all of that? Did you want that debt? Did you get to vote on that debt? Or did someone elected by an electoral college that subverted your vote create an incompetent administration and do it? Did some Congressman/Congresswoman do it even though their constituents warned them not to and asked them not to?</p>
<p>And CEO's and executives at all these institutions going under that caused this are making off with billions in severance packages, spitting in the eyes of the American people now suffering because of these executives greed, lack of competence, mismanagement, criminal conduct, and lack of ethics and concern for their countrymen.</p>
<p><em>It is as if our own government is waging an economic war of repression against the American people.</em> No wonder the minimum wage is kept low (in keeping with The Iron Law of Wages) and debt is heaped upon us, and the number living below the poverty line (as established by our own government) keeps growing every year. In little over a year, that number has jumped from 35 million to more than 39 million.</p>
<p>Maybe it's time <em>We the People</em> come up with our own solution to this crisis, like ridding ourselves of those that got us into it in the first place and those politicians and judges who made it all possible through their collusion and failures? That will fix our economy quicker than anything the Congress and the Federal Reserve can come up with.</p>
<p><strong>No taxation without representation.</strong> It was <em>enough</em> for our founding fathers. And having politicians who represent their own interests or those of corporations instead of those of the American people is the same as having no representation at all. Semantics do not substitute for ethics and principles.</p>
<p>I can only imagine the founders of our nation are ashamed of the weaklings and cowards we Americans have turned out to be.</p>
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<title><![CDATA[Demo of Flawed Hockey Stick Math Using Actual NH Data]]></title>
<link>http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/?p=955</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 15:36:25 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Jeff Id</dc:creator>
<guid>http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/demo-of-flawed-hockey-stick-math-using-actual-nh-data/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[I got a bit of a surprise while continuing my calcs using red noise.  This time I used a real recon]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I got a bit of a surprise while continuing my calcs using red noise.  This time I used a real reconstruction from the NH data.</p>
<p>Last night I spent about 5 hours on more red noise plus signal analysis.  I found some incredible things regarding the methodology of statistically sorting and calibrating proxy data.  While others have examined and published papers on how hockey sticks can be created from red noise, I am taking this to the next step.  What I have done here is to impart artificial known signals in the red noise and go look for it.</p>
<p>Last night I expanded that work to put in my red noise data the CPS northern hemisphere composite data from Mann08 and then used a similar methodologies to his to go look for it.</p>
<p>If you are not familiar with my other work go here first.</p>
<p><a title="Permanent Link to Simple Statistical Evidence Why Hockey Stick Temp Graphs are Bent!!" rel="bookmark" href="../2008/09/29/simple-statistical-evidence-why-hockey-stick-temp-graphs-are-bent/">Simple Statistical Evidence Why Hockey Stick Temp Graphs are Bent!!</a></p>
<p>Below is the one curve M08 provided as a result from his proxies.</p>
<p><a href="http://noconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/original-nh-data.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-956" title="original-nh-data" src="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/original-nh-data.jpg" alt="" width="475" height="313" /></a></p>
<p>This is one continuous curve but I colored the end red to show the 1850-1995 calibration range used below in all calculations.  This curve is actually an average of 10,000 red noise graphs with the signal added in.  It is a near perfect match to the original and can be verified by the quality of the tail from 0 to 200 AD.  There is a 0 signal and the average of the red noise is basically 0 here.</p>
<p><!--more--></p>
<p>So I have 10,000 series of red noise plus a perfect known signal added to each one.   How can we find the best proxies to recapture the data.   Paleoclimatology uses statistical correlation, but they only have temperature for the red section of the graph above so they correlate to the section they know.  This seems a reasonable assumption but is actually a fatal flaw in the math.  Let's see what happens just by sorting for the best fit to the red section and averaging the result.</p>
<p><a href="http://noconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/cherry-pick-no-calib.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-957" title="cherry-pick-no-calib" src="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/cherry-pick-no-calib.jpg" alt="" width="474" height="311" /></a></p>
<p>The blue line is the original curve from the first graph.  The purple/pink line is all data with a correlation r&#62; 0.1.  Look what happened, it amplified the signal in recent times just from sorting.  What I find interesting is that historic data (prior to the 1850-1995 calibration range) fits the original data almost perfectly.   There is no amplification.  Well naturally you would say look for better correlation data in the calibration range and you will get a better fit to the original series.  I reran the same test with r&#62;0.8 and I got the yellow graph.</p>
<p>The Yellow much higher correlation line is even more amplified in recent times yet historic data is not magnified.  When we consider how correlation works flat low amplitude but noisy signals are given low r's when compared to data with a sloped signal.  This natural and correct mathematical process prefers high slope data.  The result is clear above.   Higher correlation to a positive (known calibration data) increases the amplification of a signal inside red noise.</p>
<p>Well this isn't what paleoclimatology does -- completely.  In paleoclimatology, high correlation data are then scaled so the calibration range has a signal that is a perfect match to the known.</p>
<p>In my example here we have the advantage of a perfect known signal and a huge set of proxies to sort so we can see clearly what the scaling does.</p>
<p>I used the following process to scale the calibration data from the two graphs above.</p>
<blockquote><p>Sort proxies by  r&#62;0.8</p>
<p>Fit a line by least squares to the red section of the top graph</p>
<p>Fit a line by least squares to all remaining passed r proxies</p>
<p>Scale and offset each proxy such that linear least squares after magnification has the same slope and intercept as the linear least squares in the red section of the original graph.</p></blockquote>
<p>This process is analogous to the EIV and CPS scaling values in M08.  I am not an expert in these methods but since they use linear scaling to make the best fit of proxy data to the red calibration data it is a good approximation.  I believe this simplified method will produce a result so similar it would scare the original authors.  Anyway, it doesn't matter which method I use for this demo, the result is the same.</p>
<p>Here is the r&#62;0.8 graph in red on top of the original signal in blue.</p>
<p><a href="http://noconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/cherry-pick-calib.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-959" title="cherry-pick-calib" src="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/cherry-pick-calib.jpg" alt="" width="476" height="314" /></a></p>
<p>The red signal in the calibration range from 1850-2000 is shaped almost perfectly like the original data series.  But look what happened to historic values.  For those familiar to my recent posts (link above) we aren't too surprised by this result.  But for those who haven't seen it, what you are looking at is a demagnification of historic temperatures based on the basic methodology used in every hockey stick paper.</p>
<p>We know the signal is shown in the blue graph, I put it in the red noise with a + sign.  Yet the statistics process of sorting for the best correlation and magnifying it to fit "known" values creates a substantial demagnification of historic values.</p>
<p>Again if you are familiar with my other work you can see the true zero of the red curve offset by the amount shown in the tail.  Not only is the data demagnified it is offset!</p>
<p>You might have noticed I did the high correlation r&#62;0.8 data first.  Science is kind of fun, this next graph caused me to spend hours on what I thought was going to be an easy post.  What happens with an r&#62;0.1 through the same process.  This is the same data as shown in the purple/pink line of the second graph but each series went through the scaling process to match the calibration range data to the highest degree possible.</p>
<p><a href="http://noconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/cherry-pick-calib-r-1.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-960" title="cherry-pick-calib-r-1" src="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/cherry-pick-calib-r-1.jpg" alt="" width="475" height="313" /></a></p>
<p>Ouch, something went wrong.  I spent hours thinking my software had a problem.  I tried different red noise levels and poured through thousands of lines of code. No problems. What?</p>
<p>It took a while to realize what really happened.   The r correlation process rejects flat (nar zero) slope signals in the calibration range.  A loose r value of 0.1 allowed very flat slope correlations to be accepted.  These individual series are then magnified by a multiplier until they fit the original slope of the calibration resulting in a few series having very high weights compared to the rest.</p>
<p>Think of it like this, assume our calibration data has a slope of 1.  The red noise + signal has slopes varying from below zero to above.  If a proxy shows enough correlation to barely exceed the r&#62;0.1 value some of these proxies will likely have a flat slope say 0.01.  This series would then be magnified by 100 times to match the known signal.  Which it clearly did in the calibration period from 1850-1995 (my last graph above).</p>
<p><strong>This is actually the correct result!  I also find it a stunning revalation and confirmation of how others have shown by looking at the magnification coefficients from actual papers that these hockey stick graphs are primarily a few series in historic pre-calibration times.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Here's the big revelation for me<br />
</strong></p>
<p><span style="color:#800000;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>The math forces historic values to be comprised of the worst r value series!</strong></span></span></p>
<p>The lowest r values get the highest magnification.  Why didn't I see that before?</p>
<p>I hope my readers find this to be as huge of a result as I do.  I had been guaranteeing myself that the historic signal would be much flatter than recent times but as I demonstrated in my other post (link above), flat sloped proxies cause amplification of the historic signal.  You know science is fun even when you are wrong in your expectations.  I just didn't expect a few proxies to get so much magnification that they took over the rest.</p>
<p>By the way r&#62;0.1 resulted in 3399 or 34% of my original random series plus signal being accepted.</p>
<p>Comments and criticisms welcome.</p>
<p>Also, from M08 we know they added fake upslopes to the ends of 90% of the 1209 series.   This would have the effect of making sure that not one proxy took over the historic graph.  Think about that for a minute!</p>
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<title><![CDATA[For the Love of Money &amp; Nukes]]></title>
<link>http://corwine.wordpress.com/?p=42</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 15:29:15 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>corwinevangelin</dc:creator>
<guid>http://corwine.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/for-the-love-of-money-nukes/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Russia, China, &amp; North Korea are all using their best judgment to insure that the Middle East an]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russia, China, &#38; North Korea are all using their best judgment to insure that the Middle East and the world engage in a nice nuclear spat within the next century.</p>
<p>Since the inception of the nuke just before World War II, the world has teetered tottered on a nuclear merry-go-round of "we've got them" "we've used them" "now you've got them" "but you can't develop them".</p>
<p>Yes nuclear reactions produce lots and lots and lots and lots of clean energy. However is it worth the lots and lots and lots of nuclear BOMBS? Should humans have their hands in splitting atoms at all? My heart felt answer NO!</p>
<p>But my ideology is futile, because they are already here. Around every global corner and on every global street. They are here. It is easy to get them because our wise Asian neighbors love to sell them!</p>
<p>Now tiny rougue nations with big vicious voices can put their hands in their pockets and poke a nasty pistol at the whole world. They will. They are. And you had better be ready to see it go off before your very eyes.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><a title="Wikipedia List of Nukes" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons" target="_blank">View Wikipedia's List of Nuclear Weapons Here</a></p>
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<title><![CDATA[World Habitat Day Message: Harmonious, Greener Urbanization]]></title>
<link>http://urbanhealthupdates.wordpress.com/?p=78</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 15:15:40 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>envhealth@usaid</dc:creator>
<guid>http://urbanhealthupdates.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/world-habitat-day-message-harmonious-greener-urbanization/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK, New York, October 6, 2008 (ENS) - By the end of this year, more than half of the world]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://urbanhealthupdates.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/luanda1.jpg"><img src="http://urbanhealthupdates.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/luanda1.jpg?w=128" alt="" title="luanda1" width="128" height="95" class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-81" /></a>NEW YORK, New York, October 6, 2008 (ENS) - By the end of this year, more than half of the world's population will live in urban areas for the first time in human history, and it is no coincidence that climate change is now at the forefront of international debate, the top United Nations habitat official said to mark World Habitat Day. </p>
<p>Anna Tibaijuka serves as executive director of UN-HABITAT, the agency which promotes socially and environmentally sustainable towns and cities and adequate shelter for all. "Cities consume upwards of 75 percent of all energy and contribute to an equally substantial amount of greenhouse gas emissions. Cities must therefore be an integral part of any mitigation efforts," she said on World Habitat Day, which is observed on the first Monday in October each year. </p>
<p>The theme of this year's World Habitat Day is "harmonious cities," and the global observance this year is being led from the Angolan capital, Luanda.  </p>
<p>The Angolan capital city of Luanda is undergoing rapid urbanization. The celebrations in Angola are intended to show the world how, after nearly three decades years of conflict, the country is progressing in the establishment of harmonious cities through improvements in urban infrastructure and services, and a new urban development strategy. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/oct2008/2008-10-06-02.asp"><strong>Read More</strong></a></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Panik an allen Enden: Steht die Krise erst noch bevor - ein totaler Kollaps des weltweiten Finanzsystems?]]></title>
<link>http://endzeitblog.wordpress.com/?p=169</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 15:01:41 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>endzeitblog</dc:creator>
<guid>http://endzeitblog.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/panik-an-allen-enden-steht-die-krise-erst-noch-bevor-ein-totaler-kollaps-des-weltweiten-finanzsystems/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[
Finanzsektor, Wirtschaft und Bevölkerung sehen seit einigen Tagen den Traum vom sicheren Geld dahi]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://endzeitblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/miseryindex.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-171" title="misery index traitors" src="http://endzeitblog.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/miseryindex.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>Finanzsektor, Wirtschaft und Bevölkerung sehen seit einigen Tagen den Traum vom sicheren Geld dahinbröckeln. Auch wenn es noch immer nicht bis in die letzte Ecke aller Bevölkerungsschichten durchgedrungen zu sein scheint, wir befinden uns mitten in der schlimmsten Krise seit der Weltwirtschaftskrise der (19)20er Jahre.<br />
Das künstliche monetäre Ungetüm, welches die Regierungen dieser Welt seit Beginn des letzten Jahrhunderts aufgebaut, ist endgültig unterspült worden und steht vor dem Zusammenbruch. Ob die letzten Notflickarbeiten der nationalen Ministerien noch einmal einen Zusammenbruch verhindern können, ist fraglich.<br />
Vielleicht ist nun endlich der Zeitpunkt gekommen, wo die Schreie der vom Geldsystem versklavten Bevölkerung auch beim Establishment (Grossbanken, Kreditzirkel, Grosskonzerne, etc.) ankommen. Es wäre höchste Zeit für eine Revolution. Egal wie diese aussieht, Hauptsache wäre, es würde eine faires Handelsgebilde auf Basis einer stabilen, nicht zinseszins-etc-verseuchten Währungsreform (inkl. Rückbindung an den Goldstandard?) entstehen. Dies ist wohl auch kaum mit einem Währungsmonster wie dem Euro machbar, sondern wie auf kleinerer/regionaler Ebene.<br />
Aber wir werden sehen, was sich in so einem Fall, einige schlaue und hoffentlich wenig korrupte Köpfe überlegen werden und dann auch dem Volk zur Abstimmung vorlegen (nicht an diesem vorbei, wie bisher immer geschehen).</p>
<p>An der Spitze dieser Welt sitzen einige kranke Geister, die seit langer Zeit versuchen, die restlichen Menschen dieses Planeten zu versklaven. Dies mag hart, grössenwahnsinnig oder somit absurd klingen, aber das ist die Wahrheit. Manche mögen diese Wahrheit Verschwörungstheorie nennen, dies ändert aber nichts.<br />
Fakt ist, das das über die Jahrzehnte entstandene Finanzmonster von Anbeginn an eine Totgeburt war. Ein Crash ist irgendwann unausweichlich und scheint auch Lange im Vorfeld geplant gewesen zu sein (siehe dazu die Beiträge in der Rubrik "Geheimgesellschaften").<br />
Lasst euch nicht einschüchtern! Die Menschheit hat schon grössere Katastrophen überstanden. Falls es wirklich soweit kommen sollte, dass Unruhen sogar mit militärischen Mitteln niedergeschlagen werden müssten (interessanten Entwicklungen hierzu auch in Deutschland bezüglich <a href="http://www.wahrheiten.org/blog/2008/10/05/die-bundeswehr-im-inneneinsatz-kriegsrecht-in-deutschland/">Bundeswehreinsatz im Inneren</a>),<br />
ist die regierende Klasse endgültig dem Untergang geweiht. Nichts fürchten diese mehr als den unkontrollierbaren Hass der Massen. Sind nämlich erst einmal Namen gefallen, werden die Köpfe deren Träger rollen.</p>
<p><a href="http://endzeitblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/_stock_market_crash_1929.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-170" title="_stock_market_crash_1929" src="http://endzeitblog.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/_stock_market_crash_1929.jpg?w=300" alt="" width="300" height="247" /></a></p>
<p>Da wir oben bei Gold waren. Heute ist es zum ersten Mal in der Geschichte der grossen Goldhändler zu absoluten Bestellungsannahmestopps gekommen, da der Nachfrage der vergangenen Tage, trotz Zuzug zusätzlicher Ressourcen, nicht mehr nachgekommen werden kann.<br />
Einige Geister sind seit einiger hellwach und retten ihre Ersparnisse ins sichere Lager der Rohstoffe. Ist es denn wirklich schon Zeit zur Panik um das eigene Hab und Gut, wie es auch schon die einschlägigen Blogseiten suggerieren oder ist alles kein Problem und bald überstanden, wie viele Massenmedien uns immer noch Glauben machen wollen?<br />
Wie immer, wäre ein vernünftiges Mittelmaß anzustreben. Seid auch wach. Kredite und Schulden vermeiden, einen Teil des Geldes in festen Werten anlegen und die Entwicklungen beobachten. Zu beginnen, sämtliche Ersparnisse sofort von den Konten zu reissen und grosse Krisendepots an Nahrungsmitteln und Scheinen anzulegen, ist sicher ebenso übertrieben, wie blindes Vertrauen in unsere, von Miss Merkel &#38; Co zugesicherten, Guthaben zu besitzen. Rezession und Inflation sind auch nicht erst seit den letzten Tagen zu beobachten.<br />
Der Prozess der Negativentwicklung auf den Märkten und Börsen ist nun schon drastisch zu verzeichnen. Dies ist sicher nicht deren natürliche Schwingung und es mag durchaus sein, dass das Ende noch lange nicht erreicht ist.<br />
Ich denke gegen Ende des Jahres dürften wir spätestens schlauer und wohl leider auch etwas ärmer sein.<br />
Aber das Wichtigste ist im Moment wohl erst einmal Ruhe zu bewahren, sich um Familie und Beruf kümmern und nicht wie diese kleinen süssen Kugelaugen-Affen erstarrt vom Baum zu fallen, wenn es donnert und blitzt.<br />
Auf unserem deutschsprachigen Fleckchen der Erde wird zuvor auf jedem Fall vorher zumindest noch längere Zeit gejammert! ;-)</p>
<hr />[googlevideo=http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7065205277695921912&#38;hl=de]</p>
<p><a href="http://www.manager-magazin.de/unternehmen/artikel/0,2828,582176,00.html">http://www.manager-magazin.de/unternehmen/artikel/0,2828,582176,00.html</a><br />
<a href="http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,582490,00.html"> http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/0,1518,582490,00.html</a><br />
<a href="http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/es-ist-zeit-sehr-aufmerksam-zu-sein.html"> http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/es-ist-zeit-sehr-aufmerksam-zu-sein.html</a><br />
<a href="http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/zeitgeist-addendum.html"> http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/zeitgeist-addendum.html</a><br />
<a href="http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/der-euro-wird-zerstrt.html"> http://alles-schallundrauch.blogspot.com/2008/10/der-euro-wird-zerstrt.html</a><br />
<a href="http://www.n-tv.de/1033867.html?061020081909"> http://www.n-tv.de/1033867.html?061020081909</a><br />
<a href="http://www.duckhome.de/tb/archives/3684-Das-Geld-ist-nicht-weg,-es-ist-nur-woanders.html"> http://www.duckhome.de/tb/archives/3684-Das-Geld-ist-nicht-weg,-es-ist-nur-woanders.html</a><br />
<a href="http://www.sueddeutsche.de/finanzen/925/312836/text/"> http://www.sueddeutsche.de/finanzen/925/312836/text/</a></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Words of Belief Launches Holiday Story Writing Contest: Fiction &amp; Nonfiction Submissions]]></title>
<link>http://authortree.wordpress.com/?p=270</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 13:46:52 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>jdimos</dc:creator>
<guid>http://authortreehouse.com/2008/10/07/words-of-belief-launches-holiday-story-writing-contest-fiction-nonfiction-submissions/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Author Solutions Inc. recently launch a Christian self-publishing imprint named Words of Belief, whi]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Author Solutions Inc" href="http://www.authorsolutions.com/" target="_blank">Author Solutions Inc.</a> recently launch a Christian self-publishing imprint named <em><a title="Words of Belief" href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/" target="_blank">Words of Belief</a></em>, which opened its first annual holiday story writing contest on Monday, October 6, 2008.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com"><img class="alignright" title="Words of Belief" src="http://www.newsguide.us/images/gI_WOB.JPG.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="128" /></a>Writers can submit up to three entries of both fiction and nonfiction for free. The only requirement is that you register with <em>Words of Belief</em> (which literally takes two minutes), and then you can e-mail your entries to <a title="Email WOB Your Story Entries" href="mailto:contests@wordsofbelief.com" target="_blank">contests@wordsofbelief.com</a>.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Participants are also required to include a standard cover letter as well as contact information, so be certain to review the guidelines before you submit.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><em><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Contest Guidelines" href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/PromoPages/WOBContest.aspx" target="_blank">Read the complete guidelines here&#62;&#62;</a></span></em></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Deadline for Submissions</span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">: 11:59 PM EST, November 21, 2008</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Winning Prizes</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>One Grand Prize winner will receive…</em></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">» </span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">$500.00 check<br />
<strong>» </strong>One printed and bound copy of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>One Editor’s Selection will receive…</em></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">» </span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">$250.00 check<br />
<strong>» </strong>One printed and bound copy of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Thirteen additional finalists will have their stories featured in the <em>Words of Belief</em> Anthology to be published by the end of November, which means the finalists will have their copies in time for the holidays.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>All non-finalist participants receive…</em></span><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><br />
<strong>» </strong>One electronic copy (e-book) of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">How is <em>Words of Belief</em> different from Wordclay?</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Good question, with a good answer. True, the publishing wizard is powered by the same user-friendly technology, but <em>Words of Belief</em> offers authors free ISBNs upon publishing, which means that all <em>WOB</em> authors receive free, unlimited global distribution for each title. Explore their site, and feel free to post questions or comments about <em>WOB</em> or their contest here whenever you desire.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><em><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Browse Words of Belief..." href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/" target="_blank">Browse Words of Belief now&#62;&#62;</a></span></em></strong></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Words of Belief Launches Holiday Story Writing Contest: Fiction &amp; Nonfiction Submissions]]></title>
<link>http://wordclay.wordpress.com/?p=416</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 13:40:29 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>jdimos</dc:creator>
<guid>http://freeself-publishing.com/2008/10/07/words-of-belief-launches-holiday-story-writing-contest-fiction-nonfiction-submissions/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Author Solutions Inc. recently launch a Christian self-publishing imprint named Words of Belief, whi]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Author Solutions Inc" href="http://www.authorsolutions.com/" target="_blank">Author Solutions Inc.</a> recently launch a Christian self-publishing imprint named <em><a title="Words of Belief" href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/" target="_blank">Words of Belief</a></em>, which opened its first annual holiday story writing contest on Monday, October 6, 2008.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com"><img class="alignright" title="Words of Belief" src="http://www.newsguide.us/images/gI_WOB.JPG.jpg" alt="" width="250" height="128" /></a>Writers can submit up to three entries of both fiction and nonfiction for free. The only requirement is that you register with <em>Words of Belief</em> (which literally takes two minutes), and then you can e-mail your entries to <a title="Email WOB Your Story Entries" href="mailto:contests@wordsofbelief.com" target="_blank">contests@wordsofbelief.com</a>.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Participants are also required to include a standard cover letter as well as contact information, so be certain to review the guidelines before you submit.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><em><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Contest Guidelines" href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/PromoPages/WOBContest.aspx" target="_blank">Read the complete guidelines here&#62;&#62;</a></span></em></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Deadline for Submissions</span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">: 11:59 PM EST, November 21, 2008</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Winning Prizes<br />
</span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>One Grand Prize winner will receive…<br />
</em></span><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">» </span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">$500.00 check<br />
<strong>» </strong>One printed and bound copy of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>One Editor’s Selection will receive…<br />
</em></span><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">» </span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">$250.00 check<br />
<strong>» </strong>One printed and bound copy of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Thirteen additional finalists will have their stories featured in the <em>Words of Belief</em> Anthology to be published by the end of November, which means the finalists will have their copies in time for the holidays.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><em>All non-finalist participants receive…<br />
</em></span><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><strong>» </strong>One electronic copy (e-book) of the published Anthology</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">How is <em>Words of Belief</em> different from Wordclay?<br />
</span></strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;">Good question, with a good answer. True, the publishing wizard is powered by the same user-friendly technology, but <em>Words of Belief</em> offers authors free ISBNs upon publishing, which means that all <em>WOB</em> authors receive free, unlimited global distribution for each title. Explore their site, and feel free to post questions or comments about <em>WOB</em> or their contest here whenever you desire.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><em><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana;"><a title="Browse Words of Belief..." href="http://www.wordsofbelief.com/" target="_blank">Browse Words of Belief now&#62;&#62;</a></span></em></strong></p>
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<title><![CDATA[SSC proposes jumping on global anti-crisis bandwagon]]></title>
<link>http://baovietnam1.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/ssc-proposes-jumping-on-global-anti-crisis-bandwagon/</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 11:14:27 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Viet Nam</dc:creator>
<guid>http://baovietnam1.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/ssc-proposes-jumping-on-global-anti-crisis-bandwagon/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[HA NOI — The State Securities Commission (SSC) is putting in anti-crisis proposals to the Governme]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">HA NOI — The State Securities Commission (SSC) is putting in anti-crisis proposals to the Government for the local stock exchange, joining international efforts to minimise impacts from the US financial recession.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">SSC’s chairman Vu Bang was joining a discussion yesterday with commercial banks, securities firms and small and medium-sized enterprises on how to deal with the inflationary period.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">The conference focused on the potential impact of the US financial crisis on local markets, discussing solutions for enterprises to overcome the inflationary period.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">"The US recession has just influenced domestic export, the cost of some consumer goods and the disbursement of foreign direct investment in the country," said Bang.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">For the local stock exchange, the recession was primarily reflected in the fluctuation of investors’ attitudes on securities investment, mainly due to the depreciation of shares in global markets – the mechanism used to compare share value in the local exchange, he added.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">"In addition, foreign institutions, due to common challenges, will restructure their investment capital in the local exchange, which could restrain foreign indirect investment in the future," said Bang.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">"However, we believe that we can solve the possible abnormalities in the local stock exchange which relates to foreign indirect investment, based on what we have in foreign reserves and the foreign investment portfolio," he added.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">He noted the commission continued with strict management of securities institutions in the market. Investment activities from securities firms would also be closely controlled.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">"Tighter management will help promote market liquidity, thus trading action will be more active," Bang said.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">The commission recently proposed to the Government a series of revised securities regulations, such as allowing more than one trading account for traders and tightening the criteria to establish securities firms.</FONT></P><br />
<P align="left"><FONT face="Times New Roman" size="3">The revision aimed to promote market liquidity, as well as encourage investors to trade. —</p>
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<title><![CDATA[Zombies]]></title>
<link>http://hellfish999.wordpress.com/?p=6</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 10:12:41 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Q-Bert</dc:creator>
<guid>http://hellfish999.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/6/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Langsam stieg der Vollmond immer höher und tauchte den Friedhof in ein bleiches, unwirkliches Licht]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Langsam stieg der Vollmond immer höher und tauchte den Friedhof in ein bleiches, unwirkliches Licht.</p>
<p>Eine einsame Eule drehte einige Runden über den Gräbern und flog dann mit lautlosen Flügelschlägen über die Mauer und verschwand in der Finsternis.</p>
<p>Plötzlich waren grabende Geräusche zu hören.</p>
<p>"Verdammter Mist." fluchte eine dumpfe Stimme. "Ich hasse es."</p>
<p>"Jetzt stell dich nicht so an, du Memme." antwortete eine zweite Stimme.</p>
<p>"Muss das denn wirklich sein? Immer diese blöde Buddelei nur weil Vollmond ist. Ich habe keine Lust schon wieder wie ein Depp über den Friedhof zu tapsen."</p>
<p>"Du weißt, warum wir hier sind. Wir sind auf der Suche nach Menschenfleisch."</p>
<p>In diesem Moment wurde die Erde von unten durchbrochen. Zuerst kam eine blasse Hand zum Vorschein, der Arm folgte und dann zwängte sich eine ausgemergelte Gestalt an die Oberfläche.</p>
<p>Aus dem Nachbargrab folgte eine zweite Gestalt und blickte sich um.</p>
<p>"Menschenfleisch." höhnte sie "Wenn ich das schon höre. Sieh dich doch mal um, Willi. Kein Mensch rennt um die Zeit auf dem Friedhof herum."</p>
<p>"Da kann ich doch nix dafür." jammerte Willi und kratzte sich hinter dem Ohr, das sich plötzlich vom Kopf löste und, lange Fäden ziehend, langsam auf die Schulter rutschte. "Auch das noch. Es war mein letztes Ohr."</p>
<p>Willi nahm das Ohr, sah es wehmütig an und versuchte es erfolglos wieder anzukleben.</p>
<p>Horst wurde langsam wütend.</p>
<p>"Hör auf zu meckern. Ich habe schon seit Jahren keine Ohren mehr. Und was die anderen Dinge angeht..." Er zeigte auf seinen Schritt "die sind schon vor so langer Zeit abgefallen, ich weiß gar nicht mehr wie sich das anfühlt wenn man da noch komplett ist."</p>
<p>"Ich habe meinen noch." sagte Willi triumphierend, griff in die Hosentasche und hielt Horst etwas entgegen, das eine frappierende Ähnlichkeit mit einer Minisalami hatte.</p>
<p>"Bäh...steck das Ding wieder ein. Das ist ja ekelig." würgte Horst.</p>
<p>Maulend gehorchte Willi.</p>
<p>"So, jetzt lass uns mal sehen ob wir nichts zu essen finden."</p>
<p>Die Arme nach vorne ausgestreckt und ein Bein hinterher ziehend tapste Horst voran.</p>
<p>"Ohhhhhhhaaaaahhhhhhhhoooooooohhhhhmmmmmmmmmmmmmm." machte Willi.</p>
<p>Vor Schreck zuckte Horst zusammen und griff sich an sein Herz.</p>
<p>"Sag mal, bist du von allen guten Geistern verlassen? Was soll das? Würde mein Herz noch schlagen, hätte ich jetzt einen Infarkt bekommen."</p>
<p>"Das war Zombiegeheul." sagte Willi "So was kennt man doch aus dem Kino"</p>
<p>Horst schüttelte vorsichtig, aber nicht vorsichtig genug, seinen Kopf. Mit einem unappetitlichen Knirschen neigte sich der Kopf um 30 Grad zur Seite.</p>
<p>"Kacke, alte, verdammte. Mir wird schwindelig wenn ich alles so schräg sehe."</p>
<p>Willi sah sich um und bückte sich dann nach einem Ast.</p>
<p>"Kannst du deine Rübe nicht mit dem Stock hier festbinden?"</p>
<p>"Wie soll das denn aussehen? Meinst du, ich mache mich zum Kasper mit dem Ast?"</p>
<p>"Oh, ich hatte ganz vergessen, dass du nebenher noch als Fotomodell arbeitest. Hast du in den letzten 200 Jahren eigentlich mal in den Spiegel gesehen?"</p>
<p>"Du weißt doch, dass wir kein Spiegelbild haben."</p>
<p>"Gut, dann sage ich dir wie du aussiehst."</p>
<p>"Na? Wie denn?"</p>
<p>"Du siehst SCHEISSE aus. Wie ein Haufen vergammelte Pizza. Und so ähnlich riechst du auch."</p>
<p>"Ruhe jetzt, ich glaube da kommt jemand." flüsterte Horst. Hastig schlüpften sie hinter den nächsten Grabstein.</p>
<p>Die näher kommenden Schritte kamen immer näher.</p>
<p>Und näher.</p>
<p>Und noch näher.</p>
<p>Und waren dann ganz nahe dran.</p>
<p>Mit knackenden Knochen sprangen sie hervor.</p>
<p>"Ach DUUUU bist das." sagte Willi enttäuscht zum Werwolf. "Sei froh dass wir dich erkannt haben, sonst sähe es jetzt echt böse für dich aus."</p>
<p>Der Werwolf lachte laut auf und verschwand heulend im nächsten Gebüsch.</p>
<p>"Weißt du was?" fragte Willi "Ich geh wieder pennen. Das macht keinen Spaß hier."</p>
<p>"Na gut. Lass uns für heute aufhören." Horst zuckte resignierend die Achseln. "Was ist nächsten Monat?"</p>
<p>"Kann ich noch nicht sagen. Klopf doch einfach mal an."</p>
<p>"Mach ich. Bis denn dann."</p>
<p>Die beiden machten sich wieder daran in ihre Gräber zurückzukehren.</p>
<p>"Verdammter Mist." fluchte Willi, als nur noch seine Beine sichtbar waren "Ich hasse es."</p>
<p>"Ja ja, ich weiß." sagte Horst "Und jetzt halte die Klappe, ich kann sonst nicht einschlafen."</p>
<p>Fünf Minuten hörte man nichts mehr.</p>
<p>"Willi?" fragte Horst "Schläfst du schon?"</p>
<p>"Nein, aber ich würde gerne. Was gibt es denn noch?"</p>
<p>"Kannst du mir vielleicht dein...ähm...Ding leihen. Vielleicht kann ich besser einschlafen wenn ich ein wenig damit spiele."</p>
<p>"Vergiss es, wenn ich dich das machen lasse, bin ich morgen früh wieder so kaputt."</p>
<p>"Na gut." sagte Horst, klappte seinen Sarg zu und starrte in die Dunkelheit.</p>
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<title><![CDATA[Budweiser USB]]></title>
<link>http://babylonlive.wordpress.com/?p=119</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 09:22:20 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>babylonlive</dc:creator>
<guid>http://babylonlive.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/budweiser-usb/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[
Yeah! From now on my laptop works with Budweiser! Plug in the Budweiser USB stick and get drunk. WT]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://babylonlive.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/budweiser_usb-stick-wildstyle-bagaboo.jpg?w=270" alt="" title="budweiser_usb-stick-wildstyle-bagaboo" width="270" height="160" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-120" /><br />
Yeah! From now on my laptop works with Budweiser! Plug in the Budweiser USB stick and get drunk. WTF! I'm not into Budweiser that much (prefer drinking Becks) but the idea of bringing the product itself into promotion gadgtes is nice and will work well! Can someone send me an example?</p>
<p>Invented by <a href="http://www.cnkpromos.com/home.html">CNK</a></p>
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<title><![CDATA[AUSTRALIA: ENVIRONMENTAL CRISIS – Massive Extinction Threat]]></title>
<link>http://kevinswildside.wordpress.com/?p=23</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 09:17:36 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Particular Kev</dc:creator>
<guid>http://kevinswildside.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/australia-environmental-crisis-%e2%80%93-massive-extinction-threat/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Australia is facing an environmental crisis with a possible massive extinction threat due largely to]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia">Australia</a> is facing an environmental crisis with a possible massive extinction threat due largely to human activities. The latest <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_list">Red List</a> by the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Union_for_the_Conservation_of_Nature">International Union for the Conservation of Nature</a> lists 788 plant and animal species as threatened in Australia, including 57 mammals, 44 birds, 38 reptiles and 48 amphibians.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tasmanian_devil">Tasmanian Devil</a> is one of the most at risk Australian mammals, with a huge fall in numbers because of a deadly facial tumour disease.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The biggest threats to Australian species are introduced species including foxes, feral cats and cane toads.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The Red List has some 16 928 species on a global scale now facing extinction, with 3 246 of those species listed as critically endangered.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">BELOW:</span></strong><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"> A report dealing with the Red List</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"><span style='text-align:center; display: block;'><object width='425' height='350'><param name='movie' value='http://www.youtube.com/v/OyqscqhAe8g'></param><param name='wmode' value='transparent'></param><embed src='http://www.youtube.com/v/OyqscqhAe8g&rel=0' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' wmode='transparent' width='425' height='350'></embed></object></span></span></p>
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<title><![CDATA[AUSTRALIA: ENVIRONMENTAL CRISIS – Massive Extinction Threat]]></title>
<link>http://pbaptist.wordpress.com/?p=824</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 09:13:50 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Particular Kev</dc:creator>
<guid>http://pbaptist.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/australia-environmental-crisis-%e2%80%93-massive-extinction-threat/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Australia is facing an environmental crisis with a possible massive extinction threat due largely to]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia">Australia</a> is facing an environmental crisis with a possible massive extinction threat due largely to human activities. The latest <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_list">Red List</a> by the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Union_for_the_Conservation_of_Nature">International Union for the Conservation of Nature</a> lists 788 plant and animal species as threatened in Australia, including 57 mammals, 44 birds, 38 reptiles and 48 amphibians.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tasmanian_devil">Tasmanian Devil</a> is one of the most at risk Australian mammals, with a huge fall in numbers because of a deadly facial tumour disease.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The biggest threats to Australian species are introduced species including foxes, feral cats and cane toads.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">The Red List has some 16 928 species on a global scale now facing extinction, with 3 246 of those species listed as critically endangered.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;">BELOW:</span></strong><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"> A report dealing with the Red List</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0 0 10pt;"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:&#34;"><span style='text-align:center; display: block;'><object width='425' height='350'><param name='movie' value='http://www.youtube.com/v/OyqscqhAe8g'></param><param name='wmode' value='transparent'></param><embed src='http://www.youtube.com/v/OyqscqhAe8g&rel=0' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' wmode='transparent' width='425' height='350'></embed></object></span></span></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Things I miss ]]></title>
<link>http://isthereanyoneoutthere.wordpress.com/?p=9</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 08:51:00 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>sarahflwwoodruff</dc:creator>
<guid>http://isthereanyoneoutthere.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/things-i-miss/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Face to Face meetings
Celebrating birthdays, weddings, etc
Team meals - breakfast, lunch etc
The tea]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Face to Face meetings</p>
<p>Celebrating birthdays, weddings, etc</p>
<p>Team meals - breakfast, lunch etc</p>
<p>The tea run</p>
<p>Banter &#38; catching up</p>
<p>Christmas Parties</p>
<p>Birthday cards</p>
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<title><![CDATA[Is This When the Global Economy All Goes to Hell?]]></title>
<link>http://grandrants.wordpress.com/?p=968</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 07:04:02 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Alan Speakman</dc:creator>
<guid>http://grandrants.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/is-this-when-the-global-economy-all-goes-to-hell/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[The title is a fair question really. Take a look at the this BBC 10/7/08 news headline. Japan, China]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The title is a fair question really. Take a look at the this <a title="BBC business news" href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7656064.stm" target="_blank">BBC 10/7/08 news headline</a>. Japan, China, Germany, Iceland (Iceland?). They're all scared. Are we facing an "Uh oh" on a global scale?</p>
<p>Things to think about...</p>
<ul>
<li>The U.S. GDP is roughly <a title="CIA World Fact Book" href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html#Econ" target="_blank">$13 trillion</a>.</li>
<li>According to <a title="Treasury Direct dot Gov" href="http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np" target="_blank">treasurydirect.gov</a>, we're $10,186,269,007,199.11 in debt right now. That sounds monstrous but we've seen worse. $10 trillion is somewhere around 75% of the GDP, and that puts us on par with post WWII. So far, so good. The last eight years have been a horror show. Given 9/11, fighting radical Islam wherever we can find it including Afghanistan, Iraq (and the moon if we have to go there), Enron et al, Katrina, Rita, and a basic bank implosion. Given all that, 75% ain't a bad number.</li>
<li>And here's where I get to tick off both political parties... Check out who's at <a href="http://grandrants.wordpress.com/2008/09/16/lehman-bros-et-al-what-went-wrong/" target="_blank">fault</a> for this mess, and who's been <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDMtY06lzXM" target="_blank">cooking the federal books</a> to make the problem look "manageable".</li>
<li>Nope, if the truth be told, we're roughly $50,000,000,000,000.00 in the hole. (Jezuz, I hope that number is right. I'm an engineer, and even I'm starting to lose track of the zeros.) Anyway, the amount is a looming $50 trillion dollars.</li>
<li>Look, in our gut, I think most people thought that sooner or later all this would catch up with us. I for one thought it would be "later" vs. "sooner". Now I'm not so sure. Earlier today, I watched an interesting financial news piece on the state of the situation. As the story went to wrap, the talking head went out of his way to make clear that there has been a run on safes. And in a similarly chilling vein, a friend and local businessman told me that local gold was not to be had for love or money.</li>
</ul>
<p>I still don't believe it, but is this the time when the global economy goes to Hell?</p>
<p><em>Alan Speakman</em></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Global Health Council]]></title>
<link>http://theanthonium.wordpress.com/?p=659</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 06:45:09 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>theanthonium</dc:creator>
<guid>http://theanthonium.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/global-health-council/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Major Sponsorship Packages
The Global Health Council invites you to participate in the 2009 Annual I]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="textm" style="font-weight:normal;color:#bb2019;">Major Sponsorship Packages</span><br />
The Global Health Council invites you to participate in the 2009 Annual International Conference on Global Health at a leadership level with a Major Sponsorship Package.</p>
<p>In addition to building brand awareness among a targeted audience of global health professionals, these unique sponsorship packages are designed to communicate your organization’s key accomplishments, partnerships, products and services.</p>
<p>A Conference Sponsorship also affords the following benefits:</p>
<ul>
<li>Positions your organization as a leader in the global health field</li>
<li>Facilitates cost-effective recognition-building  of your organization and leading work among your peers<br />
<img src="http://www.globalhealth.org/images/spacer.gif" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="8" /></li>
<li>Co-brands with the leading name and event in global health<br />
<img src="http://www.globalhealth.org/images/spacer.gif" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="8" /></li>
<li>Contributes significantly to underwriting the cost of bringing key Conference educational and networking activities to all Conference attendees.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.globalhealth.org/conference_2009/view_top.php3?id=864">Read detail</a></li>
</ul>
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<title><![CDATA[SBY Ajak Swasta Atasi Krisis Global]]></title>
<link>http://relawansby.wordpress.com/?p=109</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 04:56:43 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>suryokoco</dc:creator>
<guid>http://relawansby.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/sby-ajak-swasta-atasi-krisis-global/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Kompas.com /Senin, 6 Oktober 2008 | 14:49 WIB  - Laporan Wartawan Kompas Suhartono - Sent from my B]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Arial;">Kompas.com /Senin, 6 Oktober 2008 &#124; 14:49 WIB</span><span style="font-family:Arial;"> </span><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span> </span>- </span><span style="font-family:Arial;">Laporan Wartawan Kompas Suhartono - </span><span style="font-family:Arial;">Sent from my BlackBerry © Wireless device from XL GPRS/EDGE/3G Network</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;">JAKARTA, SENIN - Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono mengajak kalangan pengusaha swasta dan dunia usaha bersama-sama aparat pemerintahmenyatukan tekad dan langkah untuk mengatasi krisis ekonomi global akibat krisis keuangan yang terjadi di Amerika Serikat (AS).</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;">Ajakan Presiden Yudhoyono itu disampaikan saat membuka Sidang Kabinet Paripurna yang diperluas di Gedung Utama Sekretariat Negara, Jakarta, Senin (6/10) siang.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;">Dalam pembukaan Sidang Kabinet Paripurna yang diperluas itu, Wakil Presiden Muhammad Jusuf Kalla masih belum ada di ruang rapat. Sidang Kabinet yang untuk pertama kalinya digelar lima hari setelah Idul Fitri 1429 Hijriah itu, dihadiri lebih dari 100 orang. Jumlah itu terdiri dari puluhan menteri Kabinet Indonesia Bersatu beserta sejumlah eselon I, kalangan dunia usaha, sejumlah pimpinan media massa dan sejumlah pengamat ekonomi seperti Pande Radja Silalahi, Mirza Adityswara dan Purbaya Yudisadewa.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;">"Pada saat ini, kita berkumpul untuk menyatukan pemahaman, tekad dan langkah serta sinergi baik kalangan dunia usaha, swasta dan pemerintah untuk mengelola perekonomian di negeri tercinta ini seraya membangun capaian-capaian baru di masa depan," tandas Presiden Yudhoyono.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Arial;"><span style="font-size:small;">Menurut Presiden, dengan menyatukan tekad dan komitmen dalam perekonomian, Indonesia bisa mengatasi dampak krisis ekonomi yang terjadi serta terus melakukan pembangunan.</span></span></p>
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<title><![CDATA[Local Media and the EPL Test]]></title>
<link>http://groundnotes.wordpress.com/?p=342</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 04:07:20 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>groundnotes</dc:creator>
<guid>http://groundnotes.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/local-media-and-the-epl-test/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Our mainstream media is not known for its credibility or solid investigative journalism. The Straits]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"><a href="http://groundnotes.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/sph.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-343" title="sph" src="http://groundnotes.wordpress.com/files/2008/10/sph.jpg" alt="" width="288" height="242" /></a>Our mainstream media is not known for its credibility or solid investigative journalism. <em>The Straits Times</em> is a good metonym of the Singapore media – commercially driven, dedicated to the PAP government, subjugated to the state’s brand of nation-building objectives, and wants to be everything to everyone, thus ending up slightly irrelevant to all. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">Flipping through it today got me thinking: it’s not doing very well either as a vehicle of global or local news.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">To see how well it brings in global news lets do a simple test. Let’s call it the English Premier League (EPL) Test. All EPL games are played either on Saturday or Sunday evenings. If a game is played at 10pm on Saturday, you won’t read about it in <em>The Straits Times</em> until Monday. This is because when the game ends at close to midnight, Sunday’s edition would already have gone to press. This means you get news that is more than a day late. So when Liverpool magnificently came back from 2-0 down to beat the hapless Manchester City 2-3 on Sunday night, we only read about it in <em>The Straits Times</em> on Tuesday morning.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">The EPL Test can be applied to international politics too. Take the US presidential campaign. Sarah Palin accused Barrack Obama of “palling around with terrorists”, a dig at his brief association with William Ayers of the Weathermen. Obama counter-accused the McCain campaign of resorting to ‘smear tactics’ and responded for like by reminding everyone of McCain’s part in the ‘Keating Five’ scandal in the 1980s. Now, this story was available on the <em>New York Times</em> and <em>Guardian</em> websites on late night 5 Oct 08 (Singapore time). <em>The Straits Times</em> only published it today (7 Oct 08). Of course <em>The</em> <em>Straits Times</em> website may have carried it earlier but because you have to pay to access it, hardly anyone uses it. Why read <em>Straits Times</em> on the net when you have world class papers like <em>New York Times</em> and <em>Guardian</em> for free?</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">So, if you judge <em>The Straits Times</em> by the EPL test, it fails miserably. In today’s world of instantaneous news and quick-response analysis, running an international headline story one day late makes your paper look like a weekly newsletter from a rural town in Alabama. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">Ok, but does <em>The Straits Times</em> do better with local news? Hardly.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">Everyone knows that <em>The Straits Times</em> is the PAP’s mouthpiece. No one, not even the papers, would dispute that. However, what happens alternative news sources emerge to challenge the mainstream press? We all know blogs like TOC and Yawning Bread are doing an excellent job in painting a more accurate, more nuanced picture of Singapore than the mainstream press. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">So while the mainstream press suffers from late delivery when it comes to global news, it suffers from credibility when it comes local news.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">The ban on political films will be eased. With this we can expect to see a spike in such films in the coming year. We can expect to see more private or public screening of these non-mainstream films, their greater presence on Youtube, and their email distribution from the likes of Martyn See. Interestingly, and perhaps pertinently, many of these young film-makers do not profess any strong loyalty to a particular opposition party or figure, nor do they claim to be anti-government. Rather, their impetus comes from their strong belief that the mainstream government-controlled media like <em>The Straits Times</em> and Mediacorp do not adequately represent the diversity of politics in Singapore, often highlighting the opposition in a negative light, if at all. As such, it is from a sense of social justice and desire for parity that, rightly or wrongly, drives these film-makers on. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span style="font-family:Georgia;"><span style="font-size:small;">And if their body of work grows bigger and more effective, not only will the political sphere become more lively and diverse in the coming years, these film-makers will also gain legitimacy as authentic voices from the ground in contrast to the state-guided one from mainstream media.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"> </p>
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<title><![CDATA[Amazing Dome Home]]></title>
<link>http://sarcasticscribe.wordpress.com/?p=129</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 03:22:29 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>sarcasticscribe</dc:creator>
<guid>http://sarcasticscribe.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/06/amazing-dome-home/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[Check out this article about an environmentally friendly house&#8230;Looks like something E.T. would]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Check out this article about an environmentally friendly house...Looks like something E.T. would live in....</p>
<p><a href="http://www.environmentalgraffiti.com/green-living/amazing-rotating-dome-home/2542">http://www.environmentalgraffiti.com/green-living/amazing-rotating-dome-home/2542</a></p>
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<title><![CDATA[First Ever Asteroid Entry Warning: Bright Skies Over Sudan]]></title>
<link>http://errantmind.wordpress.com/?p=686</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 00:59:28 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>Sean Wilson</dc:creator>
<guid>http://errantmind.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/06/first-ever-asteroid-entry-warning-bright-skies-over-sudan/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[For the first time, astronomers were able to give advance notice of an asteroid entering the Earth]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081006/ap_on_sc/sci_falling_asteroid">For the first time, astronomers were able to give advance notice of an asteroid entering the Earth's atmosphere</a>. Luckily it is relatively small and will only make a bright fiery display over Sudan as it enters the atmosphere.</p>
<p>This gives hope that we'll be able to detect other such events as well. Hopefully, with more than the six hours advance warning that they were only able to offer this time around. It's due to arrive 10:45 EDT just prior to dawn in Sudan.</p>
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<title><![CDATA[Global Best Practices in ERM for Insurers and Reinsurers Webcast]]></title>
<link>http://riskviews.wordpress.com/?p=148</link>
<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 00:23:31 +0000</pubDate>
<dc:creator>riskviews</dc:creator>
<guid>http://riskviews.ro.wordpress.com/2008/10/07/global-best-practices-in-erm-for-insurers-and-reinsurers-webcast/</guid>
<description><![CDATA[December 10 &amp; 11, 2008
A two-track webcast offered at convenient times for three regions:
The Am]]></description>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>December 10 &#38; 11, 2008</p>
<p>A two-track webcast offered at convenient times for three regions:<br />
The Americas<br />
Europe<br />
Asia</p>
<p>Registration is now open for this webcast, developed to provide the global actuarial community with new and emerging enterprise risk management (ERM) practices from different geographical regions.</p>
<p>This webcast will disseminate and promote global ERM best practices to the actuarial community, offer accessible information about ERM to actuaries, facilitate the discussion of practical and theoretical ERM issue and possible solutions, and promote global standards of best practices in ERM.</p>
<p>The geographically diverse planning committee developed a two-track program featuring speakers from Asia/Pacific, Europe and the Americas offering insight into ERM best practices.</p>
<p>Track One:</p>
<p>This pre-recorded track offers basic introduction sessions about Embedding ERM within the Organization, Economic Capital, Emerging Risks Management, Setting Risk Appetite, CEO and Board Roles in ERM. All registrants will have access to this track before the webcast date.</p>
<p>Track Two</p>
<p>This live track offers different speakers for regional specific content about Market Consistent Risk Management, ERM Need for an Economic Capital Model, The Pros and Cons of Economic Capital Models vs. Stress Testing, and ERM Use in Soft Markets.</p>
<p>Who Should Participate</p>
<p>Actuaries who are currently practicing in the ERM arena within insurers or consultancies<br />
Actuaries and actuarial students who planning to practice ERM at insurers in the future<br />
Non-actuarial risk officers (International Association of Insurance Supervisors may participate for the insurance regulator education initiative)<br />
Learn more about the Global Best Practices in ERM for Insurers and Reinsurers Webcast and register today at</p>
<p><a href="http://www.soa.org/meetings-and-events/event-detail/global-best-erm/default.aspx">http://www.soa.org/meetings-and-events/event-detail/global-best-erm/default.aspx</a>.</p>
<p>Sponsoring Organizations: The Society of Actuaries (SOA), Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS), Joint Risk Management Section, the Institute of Actuaries of Japan, The Faculty and Institute of Actuaries (UK), and the Institute of Actuaries of Australia.</p>
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